[R-SIG-Finance] question related to fixed parameters in "rugarch" package
alexios
alexios at 4dscape.com
Wed Sep 28 00:34:40 CEST 2011
The fact that ar3 is not 0 is a bug. Will look into it and release a fix
soon.
Thanks, Alexios
On 27/09/2011 23:18, johnzli at comcast.net wrote:
> Dear all:
>
> I am trying to learn how to use "rugarch" package for ARIMA + sGARCH modeling. When I tried to fix some parameters (statistically insignificant coefficients), I got the following output:
>
> *---------------------------------*
> * GARCH Model Fit *
> *---------------------------------*
>
> Conditional Variance Dynamics
> -----------------------------------
> GARCH Model : sGARCH(1,1)
> Mean Model : ARFIMA(4,0,0)
> Distribution : std
>
> Optimal Parameters
> ------------------------------------
> Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
> ar1 0.000000 NA NA NA
> ar2 0.630141 0.024459 25.7627 0.0e+00
> ar3 0.085549 NA NA NA
> ar4 -0.244984 0.022802 -10.7439 0.0e+00
> omega 0.004524 0.001050 4.3097 1.6e-05
> alpha1 0.266026 0.045341 5.8672 0.0e+00
> beta1 0.569310 0.070464 8.0795 0.0e+00
> shape 7.382851 0.898399 8.2178 0.0e+00
>
> Robust Standard Errors:
> Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
> ar1 0.000000 NA NA NA
> ar2 0.630141 0.028354 22.2244 0.000000
> ar3 0.085549 NA NA NA
> ar4 -0.244984 0.027248 -8.9908 0.000000
> omega 0.004524 0.001524 2.9696 0.002982
> alpha1 0.266026 0.060709 4.3820 0.000012
> beta1 0.569310 0.107354 5.3031 0.000000
> shape 7.382851 1.443335 5.1151 0.000000
>
> LogLikelihood : 1165.098
>
> Information Criteria
> ------------------------------------
>
> And here is the code:
>
>
> spec<- ugarchspec(variance.model = list(model = "sGARCH", garchOrder = c(1,1)), mean.model = list(armaOrder = c(4, 0), include.mean = FALSE), distribution.model = "std", start.pars = startPar, fixed.pars = list(ar1 = 0,ar3 = 0))fit<- ugarchfit(data = myData, spec = spec1, solver = "nlminb")
>
> Is it true that the coefficients for ar1 and ar3 should be 0.0 or set to NA?
>
> Your help will be appreciated.
>
>
> John Li
> (224) 372-7082
> [[alternative HTML version deleted]]
>
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